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Part 1 - The Abc’s Of Growth Stock
01. Spend a Penny
02. Growth Stocks?
03. Tested Formulas
04. Buy + Sell
05. Pitfalls
Part 2 - The Art Of Playing It Safe
06. Stability + Growth
07. Conservative Growth
08. Convertible Bonds
09. Discount Bonds
10. Growth Profits
Part 3 - How To Buy Growth Stocks At Discount
11. Bargain-Counter
12. Cyclical Stocks
13. Over-the-Counter
Part 4 - New Values At Old Prices
14. Oils + Chemicals
15. Drug Industry
Part 5 - Growth Without Glamour
16. Booming Service
17. Discount Retailers
18. Real Estate
19. Prefabricated
Part 6 - How To Profit From Shifting Styles In Investment
20. Changing Fashions
21. Education
22. Hollywood
23. New Leisure
24. Vending Machine
Part 7 - Investing In Technology
25. Applied Science
26. Defense Industries
27. Computer Stocks
28. Photocopying
Part 8 - Investing In Electronics
29. Electronics Investment
30. Electronics Stocks
31. Risk Out
Part 9 - Tomorrow's Growth stocks
32. Salt Water
33. Inner Space
34. Outer Space
35. Lasers & Masers
Resources
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Chapter 13 |
Over-The-Counter Growth Stocks |
Because of the growing scarcity of attractive listed stocks, an increasing number of professionals are turning to over-the-counter stocks in search for better values. They are potentially better values because they have been less publicized and therefore less exploited.
The over-the-counter market is the least understood, not only for the average investor, but also for the professionals who have taken a skeptical attitude toward it. This situation, however, is changing rapidly.
The investment companies, for instance, are taking a keener interest than ever before in over-the-counter stocks. While five years ago their unlisted holdings amounted to less than $100 million, exclusive of bank and insurance stocks, their holdings in the fifty Vickers’ over-the-counter favorites alone (the top fifty unlisted stocks held by funds) added up to $664.5 million (September 1, 1961, values). That's exclusive of what the funds own in hundreds of other unlisted concerns.
Over-the-counter stocks now account for about 10 per cent of the estimated $25 billion assets held by 250 mutual funds and 75 closed-end trusts as of September 1, 1961. This represents a substantial growth from the $1.5 billion recorded at the start of the year.
Values in Off-Board MartNothing is more misleading than to classify over-the-counter stocks categorically as speculative. The top unlisted fifty industrials as compiled by the Vickers Associates, for instance, are comparable in quality to the top listed fifty industrials. Among the unlisted fifty, we have Eli Lilly, Miles Laboratories (now listed on the New York Stock Exchange), G. D. Searle, and William H. Rorer in the drug category; Avon Products, Shulton, and Beauty Counselors in cosmetics; Grolier, R. R. Donnelley & Sons, and Western Publishing in publishing and printing; Dun & Bradstreet, A. C. Nielsen, and American Express in commercial and industrial services; High Voltage Engineering, Sanders Associates, and Control Data in electronics and computers. Others include Papercraft, American Greetings, Jim Walter, Diebold, Metromedia, Holiday Inns of America, Thrifty Drug Stores, and California Financial. And, of course, also Weyerhaeuser, the world's largest lumber company; Bank of America, the world's largest bank; and Time, Inc., America's leading magazine publisher.
These and many other unlisted stocks are just as good as any quality listed stocks. Generally speaking, off-board stocks are available at more realistic price levels than their more prominent listed counterparts for the simple reason that the latter are more in the market spotlight and, therefore, tend to be more expensive in the face of ever increasing investment money chasing a dwindling supply of sound listed issues.
Some of the Most Stable Investment MediaWhile the over-the-counter market is indeed the trading arena for most of the untested and speculative issues, it also has some of the most stable investment media almost exclusively traded there, including government bonds and public-held insurance company stocks.
If you had confined your investments in stocks to listed securities, you would have missed the tremendous profit opportunities, for instance, in life insurance company stocks which have showed, in 1961, an average price appreciation of between 75 and 100 per cent.
Other quality equities purchasable only at the over-the-counter market are the shares of 14,000 operating banks, most fire insurance companies and all mutual funds. To have stayed away from the off-board mart was to have missed all the excitement going on there. Franklin National Bank, for instance, rose to the 60 level in middle November 1961 from 45 less than three months before. Security National Bank, for another instance, shot up from around 20 to 40 in a period of five weeks covering October and November of 1961.
Growth Potential in Foreign SecuritiesAlso mostly traded over the counter are foreign securities which a growing number of experienced investors are buying in search for profit opportunities.
The buying is largely of institutional origin for participating in the rapid growth of the European Common Market. European stocks are attractive in many ways. First, the profit squeeze on European firms from rising production costs is not as acute as in the United States. Second, tax treatment in Europe is less severe. Third, even after the recent market rise of European stocks, they still sell much cheaper than their American counterparts price-earnings-ratio-wise. And, finally, the purchase of European stocks should serve to diversify the portfolios of United States investment companies geographically and industrially.
Among the more popular European stocks are West German bank shares, including the Dresdener Bank, the Deutsche Bank and the Commerzbank.
West German bank shares are attractive because they are engaged in investment banking and securities brokerage in addition to doing the normal loan business at high interest rates. Their investment portfolios hold large blocks of common stock, much of which is carried at book at far less than its actual worth.
The growth rates of most of the well-favored European stocks are so great that shareholders can generally expect to be offered every year or so rights of substantial market value for new issue subscription.
"Beginning" Stocks and Emerging IndustriesAltogether, the over-the-counter market is the shopping place for some 40,000 diverse equities, compared with only about 3,200 listed issues on major exchanges. Of the 40,000, between 8,000 and 10,000 are quoted and traded every day.
As the world's largest trading arena for securities, the over-the-counter market offers a great variety of issues that cover virtually the entire range of investment interests. Moreover, it is being augmented by a continuous flow of new issues at the rate of 1,000 a year. Here, experienced investors look for "beginning" stocks or stocks in emerging industries.
An entirely new investment vehicle, as we have seen in Chapter 10, has sprung up within the last few years in the form of Small Business Investment Companies. Some 360 of them are already in business, and many more are on the way. All of them are traded over the counter.
It is well known that all new issues start trading over the counter immediately after their first offering. To have stayed away from the off-board mart was to have missed all the excitement and exciting issues that have marked the new issue market in recent years. The new issue market has its ups and downs. There will always be a "Polaroid," "Technical Operation," "Itek" or "High Voltage Engineering," in the making, most probably in the obscure off-board mart, temporarily hidden from public view but ready to explode with all the force and excitement of a winner.
The over-the-counter market is all things to all kinds of people; it is also a market of extremes, from the government municipal and triple A corporate bonds at one end to the most speculative stocks at the other. Its price ranges go all way from the mining stocks, often selling in pennies, to such ultra blue chips as Superior Oils, commanding $1,300 a share.
Despite its vast profit potential, the over-the-counter mart has been completely ignored by many investors. Why? Because it's something of a mystery to them. They have got used to the practice of a listed or auction market, where transactions are made at central locations, with tickers recording every purchase and sale. They are suspicious of a market that operates without a marketplace and have no confidence in a market where traders bargain security prices by telephone or teletype instead of negotiating on the floor of an exchange.
THE FAVORITE FIFTY OVER-THE-COUNTER HOLDINGS OF MUTUAL FUNDS*Travelers Insurance 50 168
First Nat'l City Bank (N. Y.) 49 108
Avon Products 37 102
Aetna Life Insurance 35 155
Chase Manhattan Bank (N.Y.) 30 92
Chemical Bank N.Y. Trust 30 99
Jim Walter Corp. 30 21
Morgan Guaranty Trust 28 141
Continental Casualty 26 110
Brush Beryllium 25 36
Bank of America 24 70
Grolier, Inc. 24 53
American Express 21 57
Hartford Fire Insurance 21 90
U. S. Fidelity & Guaranty 21 80
Lincoln Nat'l Life Insurance 20 186
Bankers Trust Co. (N.Y.) 19 75
Coastal States Gas Producing 19 87
Colorado Interstate Gas 18 46
R. R. Donnelley & Sons 18 62
High Voltage Engineering 18 35
National Life & Ace. Insurance 18 220
Republic Natural Gas 18 45
Weyerhaeuser Co. 18 34
Connecticut General Life Ins. 16 333
Automatic Retailers of America 16 61
Fireman's Fund Insurance 16 66
Western Publishing Co. 16 69
Continental 111. Nat'l Bk. 15 181
Home Insurance 15 67
Manufacturers Hanover Trust 15 66
O. M. Scott & Sons 15 38
Union Texas Natural Gas 15 42
Beauty Counselors, Inc. 14 70
Eli Lilly & Co. 14 94
Schlumberger Ltd. 14 85
Jostens, Inc. 13 19
Security-First Nat'l Bk., L. A. 13 93
Shulton, Inc. 13 43
Southwestern Life Insurance 13 146
American Greetings 12 54
A.C. Nielsen 12 62
Purex Corp. 12 76
G. D. Searle & Co. 12 137
Transcontinental Gas P. L. 12 26
Beryllium Corp. 11 36
Emhart Mfg. Co. 11 93
First Nat'l Bk. of Boston 11 100
Liberty Nat’l Life Ins. 11 100
Miles Laboratories** 11 124
*Source of information: Vickers Associates Inc. Guide to Investment Company Portfolios as compiled by the 11-27-61 United Investment Report of United Business Service. The prices were bid prices.
**Now listed on the New York Stock Exchange.
And then, of course, there is the disadvantage in the spread between "bid" (at which price you sell a stock) and "offered" (at which price you buy a stock) instead of the uniform price at which you sell or buy a listed stock. This "spread" may amount to three-eighths of a point in a low-priced stock up to as much as several points in a high-priced stock.
To be sure, this disadvantage of a spread and the lack, in most cases, of daily printed price quotations must be weighed against the potential undervaluation of an unlisted stock resulting from its lack of market spotlight. Also, in buying into unlisted stocks, investors should be aware of their comparative lack of marketability, especially in the "thin" issues (issues with small capitalization) which might make it difficult for you to get out of them in a hurry, particularly in times of market adversity.
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